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Um what just happened?

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phillysnow-730180 Ok so I haven’t really been up to date on current global events mainly due to the large amount of snowfall and the necessity of clearing a nice path to walk around my house, and then digging out the cars. Since I managed to complete those tasks and then rest again from being slightly ill for the last week (I probably had some type of stomach virus), I chose to take a break (since I really couldn’t think of anything else to do) and watch some news on CNN. What the heck happened in the last few days is really crazy.

tunisia First the President of Tunisia and his government of 23 years was overthrown in what can be best described as a massive disorganized revolution brought about by millions of people using internet based services like Twitter, to flash mob the government and destroy the apparatus of oppression. Their reason: the push for basic human rights (which I will assume are going to be morphed into a demand for services beyond their ability to provide – socialist leanings). Essentially a bunch of young people who lived most of their life under the rule of one regime were entering the national colleges and like all students with limited knowledge (sophomoric) complained about crap they didn’t understand using 21st century technology that was available. Rioting happened, civil disorder began, and the nation temporarily fell into anarchy until new leadership arose to address the issues of the old order and attempt to rectify the alleged grievances. An interesting side note to consider is that Tunisia was fast becoming a modern nation and was about to become a member of the nuclear energy club, and have solar power stations. Sadly my guess is that their protest will be used to curtail their own use of their oil reserves and earmark it for export. Sure they only produce about 100,000 barrels of oil a day, but I am sure that someone in Europe would want it and are willing to topple their government to get it!

map_egypt Suez Canal Second is that within days of the revolution in Tunisia, the people of Egypt made a very similar overthrow of their government for almost the same reasons. They have a President who has been in power for over 30 years ( Hosni Mubarak ) and once again the students and people who realized the potential for technology to aid them in civil unrest started the fight for anarchism. Egypt, having learned of the mistakes made by the people (and government) of Tunisia, has resisted the coup attempt by its population and for the past few days has been fighting back the protestors. They have also taken the main tool of the revolutionaries out of the equation: they shut off the internet and cell phones. Yes you read that correctly. In order to eliminate the main methods of mounting a resistance and of spreading information that would be helpful to the cause of the freedom fighters, Egypt (being smart) gave the order to the telecom companies to turn off their communications infrastructures. One by one the companies agreed and turned off cell phones, house phones, internet access and the only method of distributing knowledge and information around the nation was via short wave radio (if you had one), government approved phone systems and networks, and possibly sat phones (eg. other international means). The goal was to cut off the method of fighting back and of resisting. Fighting continues but my money is on the Egyptian government to win this battle. Without the means to communicate, no spontaneous mobs can appear for more then a few moments without being ambushed. The military occupies the higher ground via technology and is using this to spread information via TV and RADIO to its citizens to go back into their homes and stop fighting or risk death.

2806f_PeakOilChevron What does this entail for the United States? Well if the fighting continues and the protestors win, or if the fighting continues and the protestors hold out long enough, we could see a complete stoppage of the oil supplies from the Gulf of Persia because the Suez Canal is IN EGYPT! Yep, imagine if the protestors figure a way to destroy the protection of the canal and start blowing things up around it, causing the canal to collapse and shut down. My best guess would be an oil tanker blown up right inside the canal! What does that cause? Oil shortages for any nation who buys Arabian crude oil from that part of the globe and will cause a massive spike and shortage of supplies to our nation. Just keep that in mind and keep your gas tank topped off for safety. Better yet, go out and get a gas can and fill it up. You never know when that extra $50 in gas will turn into a $1000 investment as the tanks around the city dry up. Worst case scenario you might see another joint venture from the USA into the canal as a means of peacekeeping (under the guise of the UN) to protect the canal during this crisis. They will make the argument (correctly) that the canal is a critical GLOBAL necessity and should not be placed under risk. I can assure you that not one nation will protest (not even the Militant Arabs who sell oil).

Things are falling apart faster then one could ever imagine. Kiss your globalization goodbye as the oil disappears.


Written by Josecito

January 27, 2011 at 5:53 pm

Posted in Uncategorized

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